Rochdale 1-1 Scunthorpe United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2026

Rochdale
1-1 HT 1-1
Scunthorpe United
📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
England - National League – 2025/2026

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.75
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.65
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.23
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.5
X/1
22%
4.43
X/2
6%
9.39
X/X
7%
5.31
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.5
2/2
9%
7.13
2/X
8%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.5 — our 11% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
54%
+2.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.6pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rochdale v Scunthorpe United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Scunthorpe United EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
2.57/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.34
+46% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
263 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 240 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Scunthorpe United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 3
344 Passes 294
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
24 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
19.02.2022 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-2 HT 1-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN2
14.08.2021 Rochdale Rochdale 0-0 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN2
23.03.2019 Rochdale Rochdale 3-1 HT 1-1 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN1
08.09.2018 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 3-3 HT 2-0 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
24.03.2018 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United 1-1 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İN1
12.08.2017 Rochdale Rochdale 1-1 HT 0-0 Scunthorpe United Scunthorpe United İN1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale and Scunthorpe United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Rochdale at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Rochdale and 1.17 for Scunthorpe United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United?

Rochdale 1-1 Scunthorpe United in the England - National League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 56%, draw 22%, Scunthorpe United 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rochdale), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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