Yeovil 1-2 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
41%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.97
Over 2.5
46%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.43
2-3 Goals
44%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
3.18
6+ Goals
10%
11.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.43 — our 27% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.08
1/2
10%
26.0
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
11%
6.13
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
9%
4.9
2/1
9%
28.5
2/2
16%
3.4
2/X
6%
12.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-0.6pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
41%
Away Win
39%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
47%
+7.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
53%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-4.9pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -22%
1.07/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.58
-22% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
118 · 93% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 108 · 92%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2025 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-4 HT 0-3 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
28.09.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 1-1 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
07.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
25.10.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
15.04.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
30.08.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
1-2
AWAY Aldershot Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
3 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town squeezed past Yeovil 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Aldershot Town as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Yeovil had 52% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 48%, shots finished 3-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Yeovil and 1.33 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Aldershot Town?

Yeovil 1-2 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 34%, draw 25%, Aldershot Town 41%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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