Yeovil 1-1 Aldershot Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.97
Over 2.5
41%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.66
No
53%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
19%
3.33
6+ Goals
9%
12.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 32% vs market 22.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.07
1/2
8%
31.5
1/X
7%
12.8
X/1
12%
4.97
X/2
7%
6.48
X/X
11%
4.79
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
18%
4.45
2/X
11%
13.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.6pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+3.0pp
59%
Under 2.5
47%
+11.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
53%
-11.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
56%
-9.6pp
53%
BTTS No
44%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeovil EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 34%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +6%
0.87/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.55/1.52
-44% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
343 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 327 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeovil
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Aldershot Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
25.10.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
15.04.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
30.08.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
11.05.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
28.12.2020 Yeovil Yeovil 3-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeovil
1-1
AWAY Aldershot Town
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
1 Passes 1
POST-MATCH Yeovil vs Aldershot Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil and Aldershot Town shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 29% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%) came in.

On the day, Yeovil had 50% of the ball to Aldershot Town's 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Yeovil and 1.33 for Aldershot Town.

What was the final score of Yeovil vs Aldershot Town?

Yeovil 1-1 Aldershot Town in the England - National League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeovil vs Aldershot Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Yeovil 38%, draw 29%, Aldershot Town 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Yeovil), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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