Rochdale 1-0 Braintree Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.47
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
25%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.96
No
55%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
31%
3.44
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
13.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 31% vs market 23.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.84
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.2
X/1
19%
3.51
X/2
5%
12.65
X/X
11%
5.75
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
14%
10.5
2/X
9%
19.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-15.1pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.9pp
25%
Away Win
15%
+10.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Braintree Town EU Bookmakers 18%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -9%
1.46/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/1.52
-23% / +2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +16%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
400 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
1-0
AWAY Braintree Town
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 8
1 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Braintree Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale squeezed past Braintree Town 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rochdale had 48% of the ball to Braintree Town's 52%, shots finished 6-10.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Braintree Town?

Rochdale 1-0 Braintree Town in the England - National League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Braintree Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 49%, draw 26%, Braintree Town 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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