York City 0-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.8
Away
23%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.75
No
48%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.71
2-3 Goals
42%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
2.14
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
11%
15.25
X/1
14%
3.92
X/2
9%
9.48
X/X
8%
5.5
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
8%
7.22
2/X
8%
15.85
Value flag · 1/X at 15.25 — our 11% vs market 3.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.3pp
27%
Draw
23%
+4.4pp
23%
Away Win
21%
+2.0pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.6pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME York City EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 24%
-15% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +32%
1.19/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.51
-33% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
374 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME York City
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Eastleigh
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
06.04.2024 York City York City 0-1 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
21.10.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 3-1 HT 1-0 York City York City İBSL
28.02.2023 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-0 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
20.08.2022 York City York City 0-1 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
04.03.2017 York City York City 3-1 HT 2-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
12.11.2016 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 0-0 York City York City İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME York City
0-0
AWAY Eastleigh
68% Ball Possession 32%
15 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH York City vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City and Eastleigh played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was York City at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, York City had 68% of the ball to Eastleigh's 32%, shots finished 15-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Eastleigh led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for York City and 1.33 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of York City vs Eastleigh?

York City 0-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for York City vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a York City win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split York City 50%, draw 27%, Eastleigh 23%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (York City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
28 Sep 2024
17:00 Rochdale vs Braintree Town Analysis →
17:00 Southend United vs Gateshead Analysis →
17:00 Halifax Town vs Wealdstone Analysis →
17:00 Yeovil vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
17:00 Tamworth vs Altrincham Analysis →
17:00 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Solihull Moors Analysis →