Aldershot Town 1-4 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.92
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.66
No
45%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.57
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.06
6+ Goals
10%
10.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.66
1/2
6%
33.5
1/X
10%
13.1
X/1
18%
4.74
X/2
7%
7.43
X/X
8%
5.16
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
22.55
2/2
16%
5.31
2/X
7%
13.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.55 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
48%
-2.6pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.7pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 31%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -5%
1.59/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.30
-3% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
347 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Yeovil
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
1 Passes 1
3 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Yeovil Yeovil 1-1 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
07.04.2023 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-1 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
25.10.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
15.04.2022 Yeovil Yeovil 0-2 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
30.08.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 1-2 HT 0-1 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
11.05.2021 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 2-0 HT 0-0 Yeovil Yeovil İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
1-4
AWAY Yeovil
59% Ball Possession 41%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
11 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yeovil cruised past Aldershot Town 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Aldershot Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 59% of the ball to Yeovil's 41%, shots finished 20-15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aldershot Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aldershot Town and 0.67 for Yeovil.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Yeovil?

Aldershot Town 1-4 Yeovil in the England - National League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 45%, draw 26%, Yeovil 29%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Aldershot Town) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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