Tamworth 1-1 Wealdstone — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
2.0
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
21%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.66
No
46%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.46
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
10%
10.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.78
1/2
5%
33.0
1/X
8%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.86
X/2
6%
7.2
X/X
9%
4.96
2/1
6%
23.4
2/2
10%
5.12
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.55
Value flag · 2/X at 13.55 — our 10% vs market 4.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
46%
+5.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
22%
Away Win
28%
-6.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.1pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tamworth EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Wealdstone EU Bookmakers 32%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.99/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.70
+30% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
47 · 97% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 42 · 91%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tamworth
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Wealdstone
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
17 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
2 Passes 0
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.03.2025 Tamworth Tamworth 4-1 HT 0-0 Wealdstone Wealdstone İBSL
04.02.2025 Wealdstone Wealdstone 0-1 HT 0-0 Tamworth Tamworth İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tamworth
1-1
AWAY Wealdstone
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Tamworth vs Wealdstone
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tamworth and Wealdstone couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Tamworth at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Tamworth had 51% of the ball to Wealdstone's 49%, shots finished 10-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Tamworth had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Tamworth and 0.50 for Wealdstone.

What was the final score of Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

Tamworth 1-1 Wealdstone in the England - National League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tamworth vs Wealdstone?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tamworth win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Tamworth 52%, draw 27%, Wealdstone 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Tamworth) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tamworth) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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