Eastleigh 2-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.48
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
51%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.34
6+ Goals
9%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 24.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
8.41
1/2
12%
23.0
1/X
7%
17.0
X/1
9%
10.15
X/2
12%
4.03
X/X
12%
5.28
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.06
2/X
6%
15.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+4.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.1pp
51%
Away Win
57%
-6.7pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.8pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 62%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.23/1.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.85/0.94
+9% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
50 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 105 · 94%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Southend United
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2025 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-2 HT 0-2 Southend United Southend United İBSL
12.10.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
10.09.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.01.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
2-1
AWAY Southend United
32% Ball Possession 68%
9 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eastleigh edged past Southend United 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Southend United at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastleigh had 32% of the ball to Southend United's 68%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Eastleigh and 1.50 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Eastleigh 2-1 Southend United in the England - National League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 24%, draw 26%, Southend United 51%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5
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