Eastleigh 1-2 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
43%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.59
2-3 Goals
40%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
4.04
6+ Goals
8%
19.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 33% vs market 30.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.02
1/2
6%
28.0
1/X
8%
14.4
X/1
12%
6.46
X/2
15%
4.74
X/X
13%
4.23
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
21%
3.12
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.8pp
43%
Away Win
42%
+0.2pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.1pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-6.7pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 46%
+11% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / +0%
1.55/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/0.87
+23% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +43%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
106 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 182 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Southend United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United FAK
10.09.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.01.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
1-2
AWAY Southend United
41% Ball Possession 59%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United squeezed past Eastleigh 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Eastleigh had 41% of the ball to Southend United's 59%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Eastleigh and 1.33 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Eastleigh 1-2 Southend United in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 30%, draw 27%, Southend United 43%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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