Maidenhead United 1-1 Rochdale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.32
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
46%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.82
Over 2.5
42%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.76
No
56%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
3.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
22%
3.45
6+ Goals
8%
13.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.05 — our 33% vs market 25.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.64
1/2
10%
24.7
1/X
7%
14.1
X/1
11%
7.45
X/2
12%
4.62
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
23%
2.71
2/X
8%
13.25
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
27%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.8pp
46%
Away Win
47%
-1.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
51%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
49%
-6.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
53%
-8.9pp
56%
BTTS No
47%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rochdale EU Bookmakers 51%
+1% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.16/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.30
-5% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -10%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
135 · 67% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 87%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 0.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Rochdale
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.09.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 3-1 HT 2-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
23.03.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.10.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
1-1
AWAY Rochdale
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 1
1 Passes 1
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Rochdale
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United and Rochdale couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Rochdale at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (58%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 39% of the ball to Rochdale's 61%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Rochdale led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maidenhead United and 2.00 for Rochdale.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Rochdale?

Maidenhead United 1-1 Rochdale in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Rochdale?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 27%, draw 27%, Rochdale 46%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Rochdale), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rochdale) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
22 Mar 2025
15:30 Sutton United vs Dagenham & Redbridge Analysis →
18:00 Gateshead vs Tamworth Analysis →
18:00 Solihull Moors vs Yeovil Analysis →
18:00 Eastleigh vs Southend United Analysis →
18:00 Wealdstone vs Woking Analysis →
18:00 Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →