Aldershot Town 3-3 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 22 Mar 2025

Aldershot Town
3-3 HT 2-3
Ebbsfleet United
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 ✗ 2nd Score 4-0 ✗
England - National League – 2024/2025

Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.62
Away
19%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.96
No
57%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.96
2-3 Goals
38%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
2.87
6+ Goals
13%
8.68
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1.58
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
19.5
X/1
22%
3.76
X/2
5%
16.5
X/X
9%
7.02
2/1
5%
22.1
2/2
9%
14.3
2/X
6%
22.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.5pp
21%
Draw
18%
+2.2pp
19%
Away Win
12%
+7.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.5pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-3.8pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 15%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.12/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/2.38
-47% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -17%
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
266 · 90% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 159 · 86%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.7

Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
10.09.2024 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 0-0 HT 0-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
12.03.2024 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 4-1 HT 2-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
15.08.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
31.08.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
01.12.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
25.08.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL

Aldershot Town 3-3 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
3-3
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
65% Ball Possession 35%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 0
2 Passes 1
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town and Ebbsfleet United couldn't be separated, finishing 3-3. Half-time: 2-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

This one beat our numbers. Aldershot Town carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 65% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 35%, shots finished 13-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.50 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Aldershot Town 3-3 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 60%, draw 21%, Ebbsfleet United 19%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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