Aldershot Town 4-1 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

Aldershot Town
4-1 HT 2-1
Ebbsfleet United
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
31%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.23
Over 2.5
49%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.5
No
45%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.69
2-3 Goals
42%
1.91
4-5 Goals
23%
2.85
6+ Goals
11%
7.94
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.7
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
12.75
X/1
8%
4.88
X/2
12%
7.25
X/X
13%
5.51
2/1
9%
22.3
2/2
13%
4.69
2/X
9%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.6pp
31%
Away Win
29%
+2.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
41%
+9.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
59%
-9.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.0pp
45%
BTTS No
38%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Aldershot Town v Ebbsfleet United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aldershot Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.55/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.67
+0% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -15%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aldershot Town
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 2-0 HT 1-0 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
31.08.2019 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-2 HT 0-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
01.12.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-2 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
25.08.2018 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-1 HT 1-1 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town İBSL
02.05.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL
20.01.2018 Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 0-0 HT 0-0 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İBSL

Aldershot Town 4-1 Ebbsfleet United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aldershot Town
4-1
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aldershot Town cruised past Ebbsfleet United 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 31%) promised a tight game; Aldershot Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Aldershot Town had 46% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 54%, shots finished 9-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Aldershot Town and 1.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Aldershot Town 4-1 Ebbsfleet United in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aldershot Town vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aldershot Town win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Aldershot Town 40%, draw 28%, Ebbsfleet United 31%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aldershot Town), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aldershot Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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