Rochdale 2-1 Woking — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.74
Over 2.5
44%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.89
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.04
6+ Goals
9%
18.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 30% vs market 28.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.84
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
6%
13.75
X/1
11%
5.38
X/2
11%
5.3
X/X
15%
4.33
2/1
7%
31.0
2/2
15%
3.77
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.4pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-4.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
54%
+2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
46%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Woking EU Bookmakers 40%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -9%
1.99/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.40
+44% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -1%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
263 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Woking
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
59% Ball Possession 41%
5 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 5
15.08.2023 Woking Woking 3-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
2-1
AWAY Woking
49% Ball Possession 51%
4 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Woking
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale squeezed past Woking 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Rochdale found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 49% of the ball to Woking's 51%, shots finished 4-7.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Woking?

Rochdale 2-1 Woking in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Woking?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 40%, draw 28%, Woking 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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