Altrincham 6-1 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
29%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.61
No
48%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.86
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
23%
3.19
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.06
1/2
6%
30.0
1/X
12%
13.05
X/1
11%
5.0
X/2
12%
6.36
X/X
9%
5.06
2/1 EV+ ✗
14%
24.45
2/2
11%
4.28
2/X
6%
13.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.45 — our 14% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
43%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.7pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Altrincham EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -17%
2.07/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.60
+36% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Altrincham
5W-1D-0L
AWAY York City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 3
15.08.2023 York City York City 2-2 HT 2-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
14.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İBSL
11.03.2023 York City York City 1-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
12.11.2022 Altrincham Altrincham 2-1 HT 0-1 York City York City İBSL
25.07.2020 York City York City 0-2 HT 0-1 Altrincham Altrincham İCON
10.11.2019 York City York City 0-1 HT 0-0 Altrincham Altrincham FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Altrincham
6-1
AWAY York City
57% Ball Possession 43%
19 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Altrincham vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Altrincham swept aside York City 6-1. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Altrincham as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 6-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Altrincham had 57% of the ball to York City's 43%, shots finished 19-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Altrincham had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Altrincham and 0.83 for York City.

What was the final score of Altrincham vs York City?

Altrincham 6-1 York City in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Altrincham vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Altrincham win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Altrincham 44%, draw 27%, York City 29%. The final score 6-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Altrincham), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Altrincham) ✓ BTTS Yes
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