Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 AFC Fylde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

Kidderminster Harriers
1-1 HT 0-1
AFC Fylde
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.19
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.37
2-3 Goals
36%
1.79
4-5 Goals
24%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 30% vs market 24.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.26
1/2
8%
31.0
1/X
9%
13.35
X/1
12%
5.01
X/2
10%
6.01
X/X
12%
4.74
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
19%
4.2
2/X
9%
13.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
42%
-8.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kidderminster Harriers v AFC Fylde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Fylde EU Bookmakers 36%
-7% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -5%
1.02/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.73
-30% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
256 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 68%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1

Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-3D-2L
AWAY AFC Fylde
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
15.08.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İBSL
10.04.2023 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 0-2 HT 0-2 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
20.12.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 1-1 HT 0-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers FAK
18.10.2022 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde 2-0 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers FAK
15.10.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-2 HT 0-1 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde FAK
13.09.2022 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 0-0 HT 0-0 AFC Fylde AFC Fylde İCON

Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 AFC Fylde — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1-1
AWAY AFC Fylde
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
10 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers and AFC Fylde shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 61% of the ball to AFC Fylde's 39%, shots finished 7-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, AFC Fylde led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 1.17 for AFC Fylde.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde?

Kidderminster Harriers 1-1 AFC Fylde in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs AFC Fylde?

Before kick-off our model rated an AFC Fylde win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 33%, draw 30%, AFC Fylde 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AFC Fylde) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AFC Fylde) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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