Southend United 2-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 12 Mar 2024

Southend United
2-0 HT 1-0
Dorking Wanderers
📅12/03/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
England - National League – 2023/2024

Southend United vs Dorking Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.47
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
26%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.23
Over 2.5
53%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.49
2-3 Goals
41%
1.9
4-5 Goals
25%
2.91
6+ Goals
9%
8.44
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.8
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.1
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
7%
12.65
X/X
9%
6.53
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
11%
9.43
2/X
7%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
64%
-11.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+1.5pp
26%
Away Win
16%
+9.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.3pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Southend United v Dorking Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 19%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +23%
1.62/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.58
-14% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +10%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
399 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.9

Southend United vs Dorking Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
15.08.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 2-1 HT 1-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
28.03.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
12.11.2022 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
18.12.2021 Southend United Southend United 2-1 HT 1-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers FAK

Southend United 2-0 Dorking Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United saw off Dorking Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southend United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Southend United had 52% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Southend United and 1.00 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Southend United 2-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - National League on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Southend United 52%, draw 22%, Dorking Wanderers 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✗ Over 2.5
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