Rochdale 3-1 Maidenhead United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.91
Over 2.5
44%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.45
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.46
6+ Goals
9%
13.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.45 — our 28% vs market 23.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.25
X/1
14%
4.02
X/2
9%
9.78
X/X
13%
4.95
2/1
8%
24.0
2/2
12%
7.6
2/X
6%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
56%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.9pp
44%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.9pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.6pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rochdale EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 23%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -13%
1.12/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.50
-36% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
376 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rochdale
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Maidenhead United
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.03.2024 Rochdale Rochdale 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
07.10.2023 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 2-2 HT 0-1 Rochdale Rochdale İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rochdale
3-1
AWAY Maidenhead United
57% Ball Possession 43%
9 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rochdale vs Maidenhead United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rochdale beat Maidenhead United 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Rochdale as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Rochdale had 57% of the ball to Maidenhead United's 43%, shots finished 9-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Rochdale had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rochdale and 1.00 for Maidenhead United.

What was the final score of Rochdale vs Maidenhead United?

Rochdale 3-1 Maidenhead United in the England - National League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rochdale vs Maidenhead United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rochdale win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Rochdale 47%, draw 26%, Maidenhead United 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rochdale) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rochdale) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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