Eastleigh 0-1 Southend United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
34%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.91
Over 2.5
48%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+6.1pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
34%
Away Win
43%
-9.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.7pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Southend United EU Bookmakers 48%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
2.80/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+105% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +38% / -32%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
312 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eastleigh
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Southend United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2024 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
13.01.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
22.02.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Eastleigh
0-1
AWAY Southend United
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Eastleigh vs Southend United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United nicked a narrow win over Eastleigh 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Southend United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Eastleigh had 39% of the ball to Southend United's 61%, shots finished 8-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eastleigh and 1.33 for Southend United.

What was the final score of Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Eastleigh 0-1 Southend United in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eastleigh vs Southend United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Eastleigh win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Eastleigh 38%, draw 28%, Southend United 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Eastleigh), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Eastleigh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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