Plymouth Parkway 0-4 Worthing — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
21%
4.34
Away
50%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.38
Over 2.5
57%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
38%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.8pp
21%
Draw
20%
+0.7pp
50%
Away Win
62%
-11.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.6pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Plymouth Parkway EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Worthing EU Bookmakers 66%
+52% / +52% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.98/0.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/2.00
+53% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -47%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
284 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 464 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Plymouth Parkway vs Worthing
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing swept aside Plymouth Parkway 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Plymouth Parkway vs Worthing?

Plymouth Parkway 0-4 Worthing in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Plymouth Parkway vs Worthing?

Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Plymouth Parkway 29%, draw 21%, Worthing 50%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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