Boreham Wood 4-0 Carshalton Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.33
Draw
24%
4.81
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.33
Over 2.5
53%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
71%
-14.6pp
24%
Draw
18%
+6.2pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
39%
+7.6pp
53%
Over 2.5
61%
-7.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Carshalton Athletic EU Bookmakers 14%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
2.00/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/4.00
-19% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -41%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
486 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Boreham Wood vs Carshalton Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood ran out comfortable winners over Carshalton Athletic 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

What was the final score of Boreham Wood vs Carshalton Athletic?

Boreham Wood 4-0 Carshalton Athletic in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boreham Wood vs Carshalton Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Boreham Wood 56%, draw 24%, Carshalton Athletic 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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