Chertsey Town 1-3 Sutton United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

Chertsey Town
1-3 HT 1-2
Sutton United
📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-2 ✗
England - FA Cup – 2025/2026

Chertsey Town vs Sutton United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
5.91
Draw
20%
4.49
Away
62%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.43
Over 2.5
46%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.75
No
58%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
43%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
14%
+4.2pp
20%
Draw
19%
+1.1pp
62%
Away Win
67%
-5.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
38%
+16.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
62%
-16.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.9pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Chertsey Town v Sutton United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chertsey Town EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Sutton United EU Bookmakers 71%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +24% / +24%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / –
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
300 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 389 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Chertsey Town vs Sutton United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sutton United beat Chertsey Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sutton United as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Chertsey Town vs Sutton United?

Chertsey Town 1-3 Sutton United in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chertsey Town vs Sutton United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sutton United win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Chertsey Town 18%, draw 20%, Sutton United 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sutton United) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sutton United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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