Biggleswade Town 1-3 York City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
17%
9.57
Draw
27%
5.28
Away
56%
1.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.43
Over 2.5
53%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.06
No
50%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
17%
Home Win
8%
+9.6pp
27%
Draw
16%
+11.1pp
56%
Away Win
77%
-20.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
38%
+9.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
62%
-9.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Biggleswade Town EU Bookmakers 10%
Head to Head
AWAY York City EU Bookmakers 81%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -35% / -35%
0.50/3.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.34
-51% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -59%
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 8
217 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 514 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.8
POST-MATCH Biggleswade Town vs York City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

York City saw off Biggleswade Town 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had York City as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

What was the final score of Biggleswade Town vs York City?

Biggleswade Town 1-3 York City in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Biggleswade Town vs York City?

Before kick-off our model rated an York City win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Biggleswade Town 17%, draw 27%, York City 56%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (York City), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (York City) ✓ Over 2.5
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