Chesham United 1-0 Yeovil — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
5.34
Draw
33%
4.19
Away
40%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
No
56%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
19%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
16%
+11.4pp
33%
Draw
21%
+11.9pp
40%
Away Win
63%
-23.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesham United EU Bookmakers 19%
Head to Head
AWAY Yeovil EU Bookmakers 67%
-35% / -35% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +29% / +29%
0.00/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 4.34/0.00
-100% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +109% /
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
230 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 584 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Chesham United vs Yeovil
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesham United squeezed past Yeovil 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and on the day Chesham United made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

What was the final score of Chesham United vs Yeovil?

Chesham United 1-0 Yeovil in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesham United vs Yeovil?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yeovil win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Chesham United 27%, draw 33%, Yeovil 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Yeovil) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Yeovil) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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