Barnet 4-0 Chelmsford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 12 Oct 2024

📅12/10/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.34
Draw
21%
4.81
Away
19%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.23
Over 2.5
61%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.85
No
43%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
70%
-9.6pp
21%
Draw
18%
+3.4pp
19%
Away Win
13%
+6.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.8pp
43%
BTTS No
50%
-6.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barnet EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+18% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
465 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barnet
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Chelmsford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
22.07.2024 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 1-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet HAZ
14.11.2022 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 0-1 HT 0-0 Barnet Barnet FAK
05.11.2022 Barnet Barnet 1-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barnet
4-0
AWAY Chelmsford City
65% Ball Possession 35%
21 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Barnet vs Chelmsford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barnet cruised past Chelmsford City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Barnet as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (61%) landed while both teams to score (57%) missed.

On the day, Barnet had 65% of the ball to Chelmsford City's 35%, shots finished 21-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Barnet had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Barnet and 0.67 for Chelmsford City.

What was the final score of Barnet vs Chelmsford City?

Barnet 4-0 Chelmsford City in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barnet vs Chelmsford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barnet win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Barnet 60%, draw 21%, Chelmsford City 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Barnet), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Barnet) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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