Southend United 2-0 Eastleigh — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - National League, 10 Sep 2024

📅10/09/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.86
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.95
Over 2.5
41%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.56
2-3 Goals
43%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.37
6+ Goals
8%
12.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.56 — our 31% vs market 22.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
11%
13.45
X/1
14%
4.36
X/2
10%
7.95
X/X
13%
4.91
2/1
8%
23.6
2/2
13%
5.83
2/X
7%
14.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
50%
-9.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.0pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+4.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
48%
+10.9pp
41%
Over 2.5
52%
-10.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.2pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Southend United EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastleigh EU Bookmakers 29%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +26%
1.83/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.24/1.59
+14% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -4%
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
359 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Southend United
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Eastleigh
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 Eastleigh Eastleigh 0-1 HT 0-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
25.08.2023 Southend United Southend United 2-0 HT 2-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
28.01.2023 Southend United Southend United 1-3 HT 0-1 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
27.08.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 2-1 HT 0-1 Southend United Southend United İBSL
22.02.2022 Eastleigh Eastleigh 1-1 HT 1-0 Southend United Southend United İBSL
05.10.2021 Southend United Southend United 1-0 HT 0-0 Eastleigh Eastleigh İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Southend United
2-0
AWAY Eastleigh
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
11 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Southend United vs Eastleigh
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southend United beat Eastleigh 2-0.

Our pre-match split (40% / 30% / 29%) promised a tight game; Southend United found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Southend United had 54% of the ball to Eastleigh's 46%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southend United had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Southend United and 1.00 for Eastleigh.

What was the final score of Southend United vs Eastleigh?

Southend United 2-0 Eastleigh in the England - National League on 10/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Southend United vs Eastleigh?

Before kick-off our model rated a Southend United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Southend United 40%, draw 30%, Eastleigh 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southend United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Southend United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İBSL More England - National League
10 Sep 2024
21:45 Halifax Town vs Oldham Athletic Analysis →
21:45 Yeovil vs Solihull Moors Analysis →
21:45 York City vs Braintree Town Analysis →
21:45 Barnet vs Altrincham Analysis →
21:45 Ebbsfleet United vs Aldershot Town Analysis →
21:45 Dagenham & Redbridge vs Sutton United Analysis →