Bath City 2-2 Ebbsfleet United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
58%
1.67
Over
42%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1
33%
2.6
2-3
40%
1.72
4-5
20%
4.09
6+
7%
20.3
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.6 — our 33% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
5%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
30%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
24%
Home Win
28%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.6pp
48%
Away Win
44%
+4.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
56%
+1.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
44%
-1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bath City The Market 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Ebbsfleet United The Market 48%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
0.69/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.54
-49% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
240 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bath City
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 1
25.08.2025 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 1-1 HT 0-1 Bath City Bath City İCON
11.02.2023 Bath City Bath City 1-3 HT 1-3 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
03.09.2022 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-1 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
05.03.2022 Bath City Bath City 0-2 HT 0-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
18.12.2021 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United 3-0 HT 1-0 Bath City Bath City İCON
04.03.2014 Bath City Bath City 2-2 HT 1-1 Ebbsfleet United Ebbsfleet United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bath City
2-2
AWAY Ebbsfleet United
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bath City vs Ebbsfleet United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bath City and Ebbsfleet United couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ebbsfleet United at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bath City had 49% of the ball to Ebbsfleet United's 51%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ebbsfleet United led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Bath City and 2.33 for Ebbsfleet United.

What was the final score of Bath City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Bath City 2-2 Ebbsfleet United in the England - Conference on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bath City vs Ebbsfleet United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ebbsfleet United win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Bath City 24%, draw 27%, Ebbsfleet United 48%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Ebbsfleet United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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