Hereford FC 1-0 Darlington 1883 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
38%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under
48%
2.21
Over
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
27%
4.19
2-3
40%
1.84
4-5
23%
2.82
6+
10%
8.17
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
39%
Home Win
36%
+3.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.2pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Darlington 1883 The Market 43%
+0% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.36/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.71/1.47
+1% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / -10%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Darlington 1883
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.09.2025 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 1-1 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
08.03.2025 Hereford FC Hereford FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
10.12.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
27.01.2024 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 2-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
12.08.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 İCON
18.03.2023 Darlington 1883 Darlington 1883 3-0 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
1-0
AWAY Darlington 1883
50% Ball Possession 50%
17 Total Shots 21
10 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Darlington 1883
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC nicked a narrow win over Darlington 1883 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 23% / 37% — and on the day Hereford FC made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hereford FC had 50% of the ball to Darlington 1883's 50%, shots finished 17-21.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Darlington 1883 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Hereford FC and 1.67 for Darlington 1883.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Darlington 1883?

Hereford FC 1-0 Darlington 1883 in the England - Conference on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Darlington 1883?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 39%, draw 23%, Darlington 1883 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hereford FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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