Dorking Wanderers 1-0 AFC Hornchurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.54
Away
25%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.15
Over
61%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
67%
1.6
No
33%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.01
2-3
39%
1.82
4-5
28%
2.89
6+
13%
8.74
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
53%
Home Win
49%
+3.9pp
22%
Draw
25%
-2.5pp
25%
Away Win
26%
-1.4pp
39%
Under 2.5
43%
-3.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
57%
+3.9pp
67%
BTTS Yes
58%
+8.8pp
33%
BTTS No
42%
-8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dorking Wanderers The Market 53%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Hornchurch The Market 30%
+11% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +20%
1.94/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.42
+17% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dorking Wanderers
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 0
02.09.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 1-0 HT 0-0 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
25.01.2025 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch 0-1 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İCON
05.10.2024 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 2-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dorking Wanderers
1-0
AWAY AFC Hornchurch
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dorking Wanderers squeezed past AFC Hornchurch 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dorking Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Dorking Wanderers had 57% of the ball to AFC Hornchurch's 43%, shots finished 13-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Dorking Wanderers and 0.67 for AFC Hornchurch.

What was the final score of Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch?

Dorking Wanderers 1-0 AFC Hornchurch in the England - Conference on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dorking Wanderers vs AFC Hornchurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dorking Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Dorking Wanderers 53%, draw 22%, AFC Hornchurch 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dorking Wanderers) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İCON More England - Conference
17 Feb 2026
22:45 Hereford FC vs Darlington 1883 Analysis →
22:45 Leamington vs Spennymoor Town Analysis →
22:45 Southport vs Buxton Analysis →
22:45 AFC Telford United vs Chorley Analysis →
22:45 Bath City vs Ebbsfleet United Analysis →
22:45 Salisbury vs Chippenham Town Analysis →