Stevenage 2-1 Port Vale — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 17 Feb 2026

Stevenage
2 - 1 HT 2 - 1
Port Vale
📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
England - 1st Division – 2025/2026

Stevenage vs Port Vale Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.79
Draw
30%
3.12
Away
15%
4.55
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
65%
1.52
Over
35%
2.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1
38%
2.02
2-3
46%
1.76
4-5
14%
5.75
6+
2%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.47
1/2
1%
34.5
1/X
5%
16.5
X/1
21%
3.92
X/2
7%
9.04
X/X
20%
3.7
2/1
3%
33.5
2/2
7%
8.6
2/X
5%
18.4
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Stevenage v Port Vale — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Stevenage The Market 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Port Vale The Market 22%
Weak Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.24 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.63
0.73 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.70
Weak Attack Strength Weak
Strong Defense Strength Weak
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 73%
25 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2

Stevenage vs Port Vale Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stevenage
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Port Vale
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.24 xG 0.91
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
249 Passes 286
68% Pass Accuracy 71%
22 Box Touches 20
17 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
19.08.2025 Port Vale Port Vale 1-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
10.02.2024 Port Vale Port Vale 2-2 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN1
12.12.2023 Port Vale Port Vale 3-3 HT 1-0 Stevenage Stevenage FAK
02.12.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 1-1 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale FAK
21.10.2023 Stevenage Stevenage 0-0 HT 0-0 Port Vale Port Vale İN1
26.02.2022 Port Vale Port Vale 2-0 HT 2-0 Stevenage Stevenage İN2

Stevenage 2-1 Port Vale — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stevenage
2 - 1
AWAY Port Vale
0.99 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 1
258 Passes 199
70% Pass Accuracy 61%
26 Box Touches 7
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Stevenage vs Port Vale
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Stevenage edged past Port Vale 2-1.

The way our numbers pointed is the way it went: our model had Stevenage as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

Under the surface, possession split 53% to 47% in Stevenage's favour, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.99 to 0.36.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.33 a game for Stevenage against 1.50 for Port Vale.

Stevenage vs Port Vale Result & Final Score

Stevenage 2 - 1 Port Vale in the England - 1st Division on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Stevenage vs Port Vale Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Stevenage win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Stevenage 55%, draw 30%, Port Vale 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stevenage) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stevenage) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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