Bromsgrove Sporting 1-4 Alvechurch — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 17 Feb 2026

📅17/02/2026 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.86
Over 2.5
43%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.4pp
37%
Away Win
39%
-1.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-5.1pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Alvechurch EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -3%
1.15/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.10
-20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +29%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
267 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Alvechurch
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.08.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-2 HT 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
11.03.2025 Alvechurch Alvechurch 2-1 HT 2-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
30.11.2024 Bromsgrove Sporting 0-2 HT 0-2 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
06.04.2024 Alvechurch Alvechurch 1-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
21.11.2023 Bromsgrove Sporting 1-1 HT 1-0 Alvechurch Alvechurch İNGNLP
14.02.2023 Alvechurch Alvechurch 0-0 HT 0-0 Bromsgrove Sporting İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bromsgrove Sporting
1-4
AWAY Alvechurch
48% Ball Possession 52%
7 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bromsgrove Sporting vs Alvechurch
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alvechurch ran out comfortable winners over Bromsgrove Sporting 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 37%) promised a tight game; Alvechurch found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bromsgrove Sporting had 48% of the ball to Alvechurch's 52%, shots finished 7-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alvechurch led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bromsgrove Sporting and 1.17 for Alvechurch.

What was the final score of Bromsgrove Sporting vs Alvechurch?

Bromsgrove Sporting 1-4 Alvechurch in the England - Non League Premier on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bromsgrove Sporting vs Alvechurch?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bromsgrove Sporting win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Bromsgrove Sporting 37%, draw 26%, Alvechurch 37%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5
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