Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Feb 2026

Deportivo Riestra
1-1 HT 1-0
Newells Old Boys
📅17/02/2026 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2026

Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.19
Draw
27%
2.77
Away
26%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
68%
1.36
Over
32%
2.98
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.51
No
66%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1
43%
1.79
2-3
36%
1.88
4-5
14%
7.59
6+
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.42
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
15.75
X/1
21%
4.52
X/2
12%
6.62
X/X
15%
3.1
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
9%
6.05
2/X
6%
16.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 68% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
42%
+5.5pp
27%
Draw
32%
-5.5pp
26%
Away Win
26%
+0.0pp
68%
Under 2.5
70%
-2.1pp
32%
Over 2.5
30%
+2.1pp
34%
BTTS Yes
36%
-1.9pp
66%
BTTS No
64%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Deportivo Riestra v Newells Old Boys — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Newells Old Boys EU Bookmakers 29%
+2% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -11%
1.22/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.40
-7% / +63% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -16%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
216 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 75%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
17.4 Crosses 16.3
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.8

Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Riestra
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.66 xG 3.28
34% Ball Possession 66%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 5
103 Passes 302
52% Pass Accuracy 79%
30 Box Touches 30
7 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
27.09.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 3-3 HT 2-2 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJ
16.05.2024 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 0-1 HT 0-1 Newells Old Boys Newells Old Boys ARJK

Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Newells Old Boys — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Riestra
1-1
AWAY Newells Old Boys
1.76 xG 1.14
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
152 Passes 162
55% Pass Accuracy 58%
36 Box Touches 13
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Riestra and Newells Old Boys couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Deportivo Riestra at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (68%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Riestra had 50% of the ball to Newells Old Boys's 50%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.76 to 1.14.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Newells Old Boys led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Deportivo Riestra and 2.00 for Newells Old Boys.

What was the final score of Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Deportivo Riestra 1-1 Newells Old Boys in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Riestra vs Newells Old Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Riestra win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Riestra 47%, draw 27%, Newells Old Boys 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Deportivo Riestra), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Riestra) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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