Cacereno 4-0 Talavera CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
29%
2.83
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.44
Over 2.5
37%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.27
No
60%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
39%
-0.5pp
29%
Draw
32%
-2.4pp
32%
Away Win
29%
+3.0pp
63%
Under 2.5
66%
-2.4pp
37%
Over 2.5
34%
+2.4pp
40%
BTTS Yes
40%
-0.1pp
60%
BTTS No
60%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cacereno EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Talavera CF EU Bookmakers 33%
+10% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +7%
1.10/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.24
-7% / +120% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
304 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cacereno
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Talavera CF
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Talavera CF Talavera CF 1-2 HT 0-1 Cacereno Cacereno İS4
15.01.2023 Cacereno Cacereno 0-0 HT 0-0 Talavera CF Talavera CF İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cacereno
4-0
AWAY Talavera CF
48% Ball Possession 52%
16 Total Shots 4
8 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cacereno vs Talavera CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cacereno swept aside Talavera CF 4-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Cacereno found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (60%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Cacereno had 48% of the ball to Talavera CF's 52%, shots finished 16-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Cacereno had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Cacereno and 0.50 for Talavera CF.

What was the final score of Cacereno vs Talavera CF?

Cacereno 4-0 Talavera CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cacereno vs Talavera CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cacereno win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Cacereno 38%, draw 29%, Talavera CF 32%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cacereno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cacereno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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