Gimnastica Segoviana 2-0 Ursaria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
48%
-4.6pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.5pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.3pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.4pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Ursaria EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.29/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.43
-7% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -60% / -18%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
297 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastica Segoviana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ursaria
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.11.2023 Ursaria Ursaria 3-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastica Segoviana Gimnastica Segoviana İS4
POST-MATCH Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ursaria
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastica Segoviana saw off Ursaria 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Gimnastica Segoviana as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

What was the final score of Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ursaria?

Gimnastica Segoviana 2-0 Ursaria in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastica Segoviana vs Ursaria?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastica Segoviana win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Gimnastica Segoviana 43%, draw 27%, Ursaria 29%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastica Segoviana) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Mar 2024
13:00 Montijo vs UD San Fernando Analysis →
13:00 Real Betis II vs Cartagena II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Estepona vs Velez Analysis →
14:00 Cadiz II vs Sevilla II Analysis →
14:00 Brea vs CD Calahorra Analysis →