Llerenense 1-0 CD Guadalajara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.94
Draw
27%
3.11
Away
35%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
31%
+6.6pp
27%
Draw
29%
-1.9pp
35%
Away Win
40%
-4.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.3pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llerenense EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY CD Guadalajara EU Bookmakers 43%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
0.57/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.66
-45% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +43% / -43%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
301 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llerenense
0W-0D-1L
AWAY CD Guadalajara
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 CD Guadalajara CD Guadalajara 3-2 HT 1-1 Llerenense Llerenense İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llerenense
1-0
AWAY CD Guadalajara
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Llerenense vs CD Guadalajara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llerenense edged past CD Guadalajara 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Llerenense made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Llerenense had 49% of the ball to CD Guadalajara's 51%, shots finished 10-7.

What was the final score of Llerenense vs CD Guadalajara?

Llerenense 1-0 CD Guadalajara in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llerenense vs CD Guadalajara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llerenense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Llerenense 38%, draw 27%, CD Guadalajara 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llerenense), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Llerenense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS4 More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Mar 2024
13:00 Montijo vs UD San Fernando Analysis →
13:00 Real Betis II vs Cartagena II Analysis →
13:30 La Union Atletico vs Antoniano Analysis →
14:00 Estepona vs Velez Analysis →
14:00 Cadiz II vs Sevilla II Analysis →
14:00 Brea vs CD Calahorra Analysis →