17/03/2024
·
19:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
1-0
2nd Score
0-0
Marbella vs Mar Menor CF Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
💡 For the risk lovers:
Home Win
★★
— pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
29%
Draw
28%
28%
Away Win
21%
62%
Under 2.5
65%
38%
Over 2.5
35%
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
61%
BTTS No
61%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Marbella v Mar Menor CF — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Marbella
EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY
Mar Menor CF
EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% /
-5%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
-9% /
-14%
0.95/0.74
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
0.49/1.28
-31%
/
+13%
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
-44%
/
+2%
56%
Ball Possession
44%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Target
3
6
Corners
4
344 · 79%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
254 · 74%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
2.2
Yellow Cards
1.8
Marbella vs Mar Menor CF Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Marbella
1W-0D-0L
AWAY
Mar Menor CF
3.00
Avg Goals (FT)
0.00
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Target
5
1
Corners
5
2
Yellow Cards
3
The Meetings
04.11.2023
Mar Menor CF
0-3
HT 0-1
Marbella
İS4
Marbella
İS4
POST-MATCH
Marbella vs Mar Menor CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Marbella edged past Mar Menor CF 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.
What was the final score of Marbella vs Mar Menor CF?
Marbella 1-0 Mar Menor CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Marbella vs Mar Menor CF?
Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marbella 42%, draw 29%, Mar Menor CF 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.
✓ Match Result (Marbella)
✓ Under 2.5
✓ BTTS No
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İS4
More Spain - 2nd Division RFEF
17 Mar 2024