Marbella 1-0 Mar Menor CF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
28%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.45
Over 2.5
38%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.33
No
61%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
51%
-8.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
28%
Away Win
21%
+7.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
65%
-3.3pp
38%
Over 2.5
35%
+3.3pp
39%
BTTS Yes
39%
+0.6pp
61%
BTTS No
61%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marbella EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Mar Menor CF EU Bookmakers 24%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -14%
0.95/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.28
-31% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -44% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
344 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marbella
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Mar Menor CF
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
8 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
04.11.2023 Mar Menor CF 0-3 HT 0-1 Marbella Marbella İS4
POST-MATCH Marbella vs Mar Menor CF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marbella edged past Mar Menor CF 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Marbella as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

What was the final score of Marbella vs Mar Menor CF?

Marbella 1-0 Mar Menor CF in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marbella vs Mar Menor CF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marbella win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Marbella 42%, draw 29%, Mar Menor CF 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marbella), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marbella) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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