Marino De Luanco 0-1 Coruxo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
28%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
60%
1.44
Over
40%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.27
No
59%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
35%
2-3
40%
4-5
17%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.1pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+2.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+0.9pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marino De Luanco EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Coruxo EU Bookmakers 29%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -1%
1.32/0.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.19
+6% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
316 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 306 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marino De Luanco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Coruxo
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
05.11.2023 Coruxo Coruxo 2-1 HT 0-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
05.03.2023 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-0 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
15.10.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-2 HT 1-1 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
01.05.2022 Coruxo Coruxo 2-0 HT 1-0 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco İS4
12.12.2021 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 0-0 HT 0-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS4
24.11.2019 Marino De Luanco Marino De Luanco 1-3 HT 1-0 Coruxo Coruxo İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marino De Luanco
0-1
AWAY Coruxo
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Coruxo nicked a narrow win over Marino De Luanco 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Marino De Luanco at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

On the day, Marino De Luanco had 62% of the ball to Coruxo's 38%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Coruxo led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Marino De Luanco and 1.50 for Coruxo.

What was the final score of Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo?

Marino De Luanco 0-1 Coruxo in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marino De Luanco vs Coruxo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marino De Luanco win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Marino De Luanco 44%, draw 29%, Coruxo 28%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marino De Luanco) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marino De Luanco) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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