Real Aviles 2-0 Real Oviedo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
45%
-0.9pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
28%
-1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+1.7pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-1.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.5pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Aviles EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo II EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +5%
1.51/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.99
+21% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
218 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Aviles
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Real Oviedo II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 1-1 HT 0-1 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
26.02.2023 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II 1-0 HT 1-0 Real Aviles Real Aviles İS4
09.10.2022 Real Aviles Real Aviles 4-2 HT 2-1 Real Oviedo II Real Oviedo II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Aviles
2-0
AWAY Real Oviedo II
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Real Aviles vs Real Oviedo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Aviles beat Real Oviedo II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Real Aviles as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Real Aviles had 53% of the ball to Real Oviedo II's 47%, shots finished 10-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Real Aviles and 1.33 for Real Oviedo II.

What was the final score of Real Aviles vs Real Oviedo II?

Real Aviles 2-0 Real Oviedo II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Aviles vs Real Oviedo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Aviles win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Real Aviles 44%, draw 30%, Real Oviedo II 26%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Real Aviles), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Real Aviles) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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