Zamora CF 1-1 Villalbes — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.45
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
20%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
2.95
No
64%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
42%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
64%
-6.9pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.8pp
20%
Away Win
12%
+7.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-4.9pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+4.9pp
36%
BTTS Yes
30%
+6.2pp
64%
BTTS No
70%
-6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamora CF EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Villalbes EU Bookmakers 15%
-19% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +2%
1.15/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.38/1.05
-34% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +66%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
423 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 243 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamora CF
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Villalbes
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
7 Total Shots 5
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
04.11.2023 Villalbes 0-0 HT 0-0 Zamora CF Zamora CF İS4
POST-MATCH Zamora CF vs Villalbes
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zamora CF and Villalbes shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Zamora CF at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, under 2.5 goals (60%) landed while no to both teams scoring (64%) missed.

What was the final score of Zamora CF vs Villalbes?

Zamora CF 1-1 Villalbes in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamora CF vs Villalbes?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zamora CF win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Zamora CF 58%, draw 23%, Villalbes 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zamora CF), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zamora CF) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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