Juventus 0-0 Genoa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.75
Over 2.5
43%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.13
No
54%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.98
6+ Goals
9%
18.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.93 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1.89
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
7%
18.35
X/1
21%
3.46
X/2
7%
12.7
X/X
10%
5.08
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
11.2
2/X
9%
19.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Juventus win — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
63%
-8.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.7pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.9pp
54%
BTTS No
57%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Juventus EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
1.88/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.52
+0% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +12%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 4
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 77%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.8
20.7 Crosses 13.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Juventus
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Genoa
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.73 xG 1.02
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
552 Passes 310
88% Pass Accuracy 78%
38 Box Touches 17
20 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 3
15.12.2023 Genoa Genoa 1-1 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
06.05.2022 Genoa Genoa 2-1 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
05.12.2021 Juventus Juventus 2-0 HT 1-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
11.04.2021 Juventus Juventus 3-1 HT 2-0 Genoa Genoa İTA
13.01.2021 Juventus Juventus 3-2 HT 2-1 Genoa Genoa İTK
13.12.2020 Genoa Genoa 1-3 HT 0-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Juventus
0-0
AWAY Genoa
1.03 xG 0.19
66% Ball Possession 34%
17 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 2
459 Passes 203
85% Pass Accuracy 72%
33 Box Touches 6
34 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Juventus vs Genoa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Juventus and Genoa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Juventus at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Juventus had 66% of the ball to Genoa's 34%, shots finished 17-5, expected goals 1.03 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Juventus and 1.17 for Genoa.

What was the final score of Juventus vs Genoa?

Juventus 0-0 Genoa in the Italy - Serie A on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Juventus vs Genoa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Juventus win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Juventus 54%, draw 26%, Genoa 20%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Juventus) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Juventus) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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