Roma vs Sassuolo Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Roma v Sassuolo — Team-Based Signals
Roma vs Sassuolo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-0
Roma
İTA
3-4
HT 1-3
Sassuolo
İTA
1-1
HT 0-0
Roma
İTA
2-2
HT 0-1
Roma
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
İTA
2-2
HT 0-1
Roma
İTA
Roma 1-0 Sassuolo — Actual Match Statistics
Roma squeezed past Sassuolo 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Roma as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Roma had 63% of the ball to Sassuolo's 37%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 0.70 to 0.49.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Roma had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Roma and 1.83 for Sassuolo.
What was the final score of Roma vs Sassuolo?
Roma 1-0 Sassuolo in the Italy - Serie A on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Roma vs Sassuolo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Roma win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Roma 55%, draw 24%, Sassuolo 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Roma) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.