Godoy Cruz 1-0 Atletico Tigre — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
29%
3.8
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.71
Over 2.5
41%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
34%
2.82
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
4.13
6+ Goals
10%
19.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 34% vs market 29.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1.99
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
6%
17.9
X/1
21%
3.48
X/2
5%
11.3
X/X
15%
4.92
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
8%
9.95
2/X
8%
18.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.5pp
29%
Draw
23%
+6.2pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
55%
+4.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
45%
-4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.6pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Godoy Cruz EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Tigre EU Bookmakers 19%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.26/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.19
-21% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 277 · 73%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.9
22.2 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Godoy Cruz
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.15 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 282
72% Pass Accuracy 72%
19 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-0 HT 1-0 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
09.04.2023 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
14.09.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
12.02.2022 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJ
07.10.2021 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 1-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre ARJK
03.12.2018 Atletico Tigre Atletico Tigre 1-3 HT 1-1 Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Godoy Cruz
1-0
AWAY Atletico Tigre
1.15 xG 0.78
44% Ball Possession 56%
20 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 2
300 Passes 389
85% Pass Accuracy 86%
23 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tigre
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Godoy Cruz edged past Atletico Tigre 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Godoy Cruz as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Godoy Cruz had 44% of the ball to Atletico Tigre's 56%, shots finished 20-12, expected goals 1.15 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Godoy Cruz had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Godoy Cruz and 0.83 for Atletico Tigre.

What was the final score of Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tigre?

Godoy Cruz 1-0 Atletico Tigre in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Godoy Cruz vs Atletico Tigre?

Before kick-off our model rated a Godoy Cruz win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Godoy Cruz 50%, draw 29%, Atletico Tigre 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Godoy Cruz), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Godoy Cruz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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