Racing Club 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 17 Mar 2024

Racing Club
1-1 HT 0-0
Defensa y Justicia
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒01:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.97
Over 2.5
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.68
2-3 Goals
39%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
3.29
6+ Goals
10%
11.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.68 — our 27% vs market 21.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.06
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.85
X/1
22%
3.93
X/2
8%
10.55
X/X
11%
5.29
2/1
8%
23.15
2/2
13%
8.15
2/X
7%
15.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-11.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.3pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club v Defensa y Justicia — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Defensa y Justicia EU Bookmakers 21%
-10% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / -7%
1.46/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.52
-12% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +32%
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
368 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 69%
27.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.0
24.9 Crosses 15.1
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8

Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
2.00 xG 1.34
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
394 Passes 244
81% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 18
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.11.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
28.05.2023 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 1-1 HT 1-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
06.10.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 3-3 HT 2-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.02.2022 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia 2-2 HT 1-2 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
30.10.2021 Racing Club Racing Club 1-2 HT 0-0 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ
30.11.2019 Racing Club Racing Club 1-1 HT 1-1 Defensa y Justicia Defensa y Justicia ARJ

Racing Club 1-1 Defensa y Justicia — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
1-1
AWAY Defensa y Justicia
1.54 xG 1.49
61% Ball Possession 39%
23 Total Shots 18
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 6
303 Passes 192
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
44 Box Touches 23
27 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club and Defensa y Justicia shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Racing Club at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Racing Club had 61% of the ball to Defensa y Justicia's 39%, shots finished 23-18, expected goals 1.54 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Defensa y Justicia led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Racing Club and 1.83 for Defensa y Justicia.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia?

Racing Club 1-1 Defensa y Justicia in the Argentina - Premier League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Defensa y Justicia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 47%, draw 26%, Defensa y Justicia 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Racing Club) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Racing Club) ✓ BTTS Yes
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