Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 Melbourne City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 17 Mar 2024

Melbourne Victory (K)
0-0 HT 0-0
Melbourne City (K)
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2023/2024

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.18
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
34%
2.33
Over 2.5
66%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.46
No
34%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
38%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
14%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
42%
-9.6pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.8pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.8pp
34%
Under 2.5
39%
-5.4pp
66%
Over 2.5
61%
+5.5pp
66%
BTTS Yes
64%
+2.1pp
34%
BTTS No
36%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Melbourne Victory (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne City (K) EU Bookmakers 37%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -53% / -53%
1.30/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.58
+1% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -42%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
336 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 72%
22.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
18.0 Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.0

Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.45 xG 1.37
33% Ball Possession 67%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
194 Passes 482
67% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 21
11 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
12.12.2019 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
05.01.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) AVUSTW
16.11.2018 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 0-2 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
03.11.2017 Melbourne City (K) Melbourne City (K) 1-0 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Melbourne Victory (K)
0-0
AWAY Melbourne City (K)
0.45 xG 0.98
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
269 Passes 366
75% Pass Accuracy 81%
21 Box Touches 32
29 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory (K) and Melbourne City (K) played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne City (K) at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (66%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) had 45% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 55%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.45 to 0.98.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Melbourne Victory (K) and 0.50 for Melbourne City (K).

What was the final score of Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Victory (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Victory (K) 32%, draw 27%, Melbourne City (K) 41%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne City (K)) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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