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Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Wellington Phoenix (K) v Sydney (K) — Team-Based Signals
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-4 Sydney (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Sydney (K) beat Wellington Phoenix (K) 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Sydney (K) as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Wellington Phoenix (K) had 58% of the ball to Sydney (K)'s 42%, shots finished 17-17, expected goals 2.48 to 1.42 — on chances, Wellington Phoenix (K) could feel hard done by.
What was the final score of Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?
Wellington Phoenix (K) 2-4 Sydney (K) in the Australia - W-League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Wellington Phoenix (K) vs Sydney (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Sydney (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Wellington Phoenix (K) 22%, draw 30%, Sydney (K) 48%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sydney (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.