Dersimspor 0-5 Murat 2020 Gençspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.49
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
32%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under
44%
Over
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
No Pick
58%
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
36%
4-5
29%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS No — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
48%
Home Win
63%
-15.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
32%
Away Win
18%
+14.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dersimspor The Market 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Murat 2020 Gençspor The Market 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 234 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Dersimspor vs Murat 2020 Gençspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Murat 2020 Gençspor cruised past Dersimspor 5-0 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dersimspor at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Dersimspor vs Murat 2020 Gençspor?

Dersimspor 0-5 Murat 2020 Gençspor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dersimspor vs Murat 2020 Gençspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dersimspor win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Dersimspor 48%, draw 20%, Murat 2020 Gençspor 32%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Dersimspor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dersimspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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