Serhat Ardahan 4-0 Bayburt Belediye Spor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Regional Amateur League, 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
Over Pick
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
No
47%
Total Goals
0-1
24%
2-3
41%
4-5
23%
6+
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
46%
Home Win
53%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
22%
+5.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Serhat Ardahan The Market 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayburt Belediye Spor The Market 29%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -49% / -49%
2.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+24% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +57%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Serhat Ardahan vs Bayburt Belediye Spor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Serhat Ardahan ran out comfortable winners over Bayburt Belediye Spor 4-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Serhat Ardahan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

What was the final score of Serhat Ardahan vs Bayburt Belediye Spor?

Serhat Ardahan 4-0 Bayburt Belediye Spor in the Turkey - Regional Amateur League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Serhat Ardahan vs Bayburt Belediye Spor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Serhat Ardahan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Serhat Ardahan 46%, draw 27%, Bayburt Belediye Spor 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Serhat Ardahan), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Serhat Ardahan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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