Liverpool U21 2-0 Manchester City U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
40%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
2.96
Over 2.5
65%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%
1.35
No
34%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
15%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
40%
-3.5pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.1pp
40%
Away Win
38%
+1.4pp
35%
Under 2.5
30%
+5.0pp
65%
Over 2.5
70%
-5.0pp
66%
BTTS Yes
70%
-4.0pp
34%
BTTS No
30%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool U21 EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City U21 EU Bookmakers 43%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.16/2.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.28/0.56
-45% / +90% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +75%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
221 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.5 Crosses 10.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool U21
2-0
AWAY Manchester City U21
2.03 xG 1.07
37% Ball Possession 63%
14 Total Shots 9
9 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 2
260 Passes 502
79% Pass Accuracy 87%
3 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool U21 saw off Manchester City U21 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 24% / 40%) promised a tight game; Liverpool U21 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (66%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Liverpool U21 had 37% of the ball to Manchester City U21's 63%, shots finished 14-9, expected goals 2.03 to 1.07.

What was the final score of Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Liverpool U21 2-0 Manchester City U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool U21 vs Manchester City U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Liverpool U21 36%, draw 24%, Manchester City U21 40%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Manchester City U21) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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