Middlesbrough U21 1-2 Tottenham U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 17 Mar 2024

📅17/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.75
Draw
20%
4.19
Away
46%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.96
Over 2.5
62%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.41
No
38%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
23%
+11.0pp
20%
Draw
20%
-0.1pp
46%
Away Win
56%
-10.9pp
38%
Under 2.5
30%
+8.0pp
62%
Over 2.5
70%
-8.0pp
62%
BTTS Yes
67%
-4.8pp
38%
BTTS No
33%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Middlesbrough U21 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Tottenham U21 EU Bookmakers 61%
-34% / -34% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+16% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
313 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
6.0 Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Middlesbrough U21
1-2
AWAY Tottenham U21
1.12 xG 1.75
34% Ball Possession 66%
16 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 5
246 Passes 545
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
22 Box Touches 49
13 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tottenham U21 edged past Middlesbrough U21 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Tottenham U21 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Middlesbrough U21 had 34% of the ball to Tottenham U21's 66%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.12 to 1.75.

What was the final score of Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Middlesbrough U21 1-2 Tottenham U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Middlesbrough U21 vs Tottenham U21?

Before kick-off our model rated an Tottenham U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Middlesbrough U21 34%, draw 20%, Tottenham U21 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Tottenham U21), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Tottenham U21) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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