Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Mar 2024

Kyoto Sanga
2-3 HT 2-2
Yokohama F. Marinos
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.03
Over 2.5
53%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
43%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.23
1/2
8%
24.85
1/X
5%
12.85
X/1
11%
6.38
X/2
10%
5.13
X/X
9%
4.99
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
29.5
2/2
23%
3.11
2/X
10%
12.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 29.5 — our 9% vs market 1.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
33%
+1.5pp
24%
Draw
26%
-2.1pp
41%
Away Win
41%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
45%
+1.3pp
53%
Over 2.5
55%
-1.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Kyoto Sanga v Yokohama F. Marinos — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kyoto Sanga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos EU Bookmakers 45%
-21% / -26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -8%
1.14/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.71
-27% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +24% / -24%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
327 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 76%
20.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.8 Crosses 16.9
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.2

Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kyoto Sanga
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.57 xG 1.62
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 4
271 Passes 457
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
22 Box Touches 25
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.12.2023 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 3-1 HT 1-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
07.05.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 4-1 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
14.09.2022 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
25.05.2022 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-0 HT 1-0 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP
21.08.2010 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga 1-2 HT 0-1 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos JAP
15.05.2010 Yokohama F. Marinos Yokohama F. Marinos 2-2 HT 1-1 Kyoto Sanga Kyoto Sanga JAP

Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kyoto Sanga
2-3
AWAY Yokohama F. Marinos
2.48 xG 2.85
41% Ball Possession 59%
19 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 8
195 Passes 365
69% Pass Accuracy 84%
26 Box Touches 29
28 Crosses 26
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yokohama F. Marinos nicked a narrow win over Kyoto Sanga 3-2 away from home. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yokohama F. Marinos as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kyoto Sanga had 41% of the ball to Yokohama F. Marinos's 59%, shots finished 19-19, expected goals 2.48 to 2.85.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Yokohama F. Marinos led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kyoto Sanga and 2.17 for Yokohama F. Marinos.

What was the final score of Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Kyoto Sanga 2-3 Yokohama F. Marinos in the Japan - J1 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos?

Before kick-off our model rated an Yokohama F. Marinos win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kyoto Sanga 35%, draw 24%, Yokohama F. Marinos 41%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Yokohama F. Marinos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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