Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa Red Diamonds — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J1 League, 17 Mar 2024

Shonan Bellmare
4-4 HT 2-1
Urawa Red Diamonds
📅17/03/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Japan - J1 League – 2024

Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
36%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.95
No
57%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.57
1/2
6%
32.0
1/X
7%
13.8
X/1
14%
5.92
X/2
16%
4.92
X/X
19%
3.81
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
13%
3.52
2/X
6%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
-0.3pp
32%
Draw
30%
+2.5pp
36%
Away Win
38%
-2.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
43%
BTTS Yes
47%
-4.4pp
57%
BTTS No
53%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shonan Bellmare v Urawa Red Diamonds — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shonan Bellmare EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds EU Bookmakers 42%
-2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +11%
1.27/1.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.04
-25% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +37%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
296 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
21.2 Crosses 15.8
1.3 Yellow Cards 0.9

Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shonan Bellmare
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.59
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
336 Passes 371
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
25.08.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-1 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
28.06.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 4-1 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP
19.04.2023 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 1-1 HT 1-1 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JLK
08.03.2023 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JLK
17.09.2022 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare 0-0 HT 0-0 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds JAP
06.03.2022 Urawa Red Diamonds Urawa Red Diamonds 2-0 HT 1-0 Shonan Bellmare Shonan Bellmare JAP

Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa Red Diamonds — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shonan Bellmare
4-4
AWAY Urawa Red Diamonds
2.46 xG 2.07
42% Ball Possession 58%
20 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 7
285 Passes 427
74% Pass Accuracy 83%
27 Box Touches 30
18 Crosses 26
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shonan Bellmare and Urawa Red Diamonds shared the points in a 4-4 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Shonan Bellmare had 42% of the ball to Urawa Red Diamonds's 58%, shots finished 20-15, expected goals 2.46 to 2.07.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Urawa Red Diamonds led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Shonan Bellmare and 1.33 for Urawa Red Diamonds.

What was the final score of Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Shonan Bellmare 4-4 Urawa Red Diamonds in the Japan - J1 League on 17/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shonan Bellmare vs Urawa Red Diamonds?

Before kick-off our model rated an Urawa Red Diamonds win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Shonan Bellmare 32%, draw 32%, Urawa Red Diamonds 36%. The final score 4-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Urawa Red Diamonds) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
JAP More Japan - J1 League
17 Mar 2024
08:00 Kyoto Sanga vs Yokohama F. Marinos Analysis →
09:00 Kashima Antlers vs Kawasaki Frontale Analysis →